Thursday, July 2, 2009

Who Elected Whom?


Yair Assaf-Shapira

from: City in Numbers


Although in Jerusalem's mayoral elections of 2003 Uri Lupoliansky won a clear majority (52% of the valid ballots) over the other candidates, in most sectors of the city it was actually Nir Barkat who was victorious. In 100 out of the 188 statistical districts of the city (not including the industrial areas and other non-residential areas), Nir Barkat won a majority. Lupoliansky received a majority of the votes in 83 districts and Yossi Tal-Gan in 5. The candidates Yigal Amedi, Roni Aloni, and Larisa Gerstein didn't receive majorities in any district.

As one can see in the map, the areas in which Lupoliansky won a majority were those with an Ultra-Orthodox majority – Romema, Sanhedriyya, Ramat Shlomo, the eastern part of Ramot Alon, Neve Ya'akov, Har Nof, and Bayit VeGan. In addition, Lupoliansky won in most of the Arab districts in East Jerusalem, though it should be noted that the voter turn-out in these sectors was very low – only about 5%.
In the Jewish districts that are not Ultra-Orthodox, entailing 113,000 valid ballots, Barkat won 62% of the votes and Lupoliansky 32%. 74% of the Jews with the right to vote live in these areas, but the voter turn-out is low compared to that in the Ultra-Orthodox neighborhoods. In Ultra-Orthodox districts, out of 56,000 valid ballots, Lupolianski won 93% and Barkat 6%. In Arab districts, out of 4,500 valid ballots, Lupoliansky won 43% and Barkat 23%.
Overall, districts with high socioeconomic status were characterized by support for Barkat, and districts with low socioeconomic status – for Lupoliansky. In areas of the city with upper-middle and upper status (defined by the Central Bureau of Statistics as clusters 12-20), Barkat received 63% of the votes, while in the areas with lower-middle and lower status (clusters 2-11), Lupoliansky received 74% of the votes.
The Winning Candidate, by Parts of the City, 2003
Source: Processing of data provided by Prof. Avraham Diskin.

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